Statistical Approach to Calculate 2010 Record

Using MJE's post on the rivals.com boards as a guide, I used Monte Carlo simulations to calculate the amount of wins we will get next year. Here are the results. I am having trouble posting up the charts from excel but for now he is what it looks like. I will post up the charts when I can.

Wins: Probability:

0: 0%

1: 0%

2: .5%

3: 2.9%

4: 10.5%

5: 21.6%

6: 27.1%

7: 22.1%

8: 11.2%

9: 3.5%

10: .7%

11: 0%

12: 0%